有代理行发表商厦市场报告指，5月份商厦录94宗註册宗数，按月减8.7%，甲乙厦租售价全綫下跌，按月分别跌3.7%及1.3%。

上月仅录1宗大额成交，为中环欧陆贸易中心约5000呎高层单位，作价1.42亿，平均呎价约2.8万。该行代理表示，通关利好消息被消化，内地经济数据未及预期，导致商厦需求回软。

甲厦租金按月升2%

5月份共录约498宗租务，按月升逾四成，内地企业联合能源及中石油将分别进驻长江集团中心二期及友邦金融中心。

(星岛日报)

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高息冲击 上半年大额买卖淡静

统计显示，今年首5个月大额成交淡静，非住宅成交中以商铺较受投资者欢迎。业界料下半年若减息，大额买卖便有起色。

有代理行统计指，虽然香港与内地通关，但首季买卖未见特别畅旺。2023年1月至5月投资市场共录得97宗交易，宗数按年上升超过24%，但涉及交易金额则下跌30%，仅达318亿元。

至于物业类型方面，大手买卖以豪宅 (54%) 最活跃，其次为零售物业和酒店 (各佔11%)。访港旅客重返，零售业销售额由低位回升，零售物业因而受投资者关注。至于写字楼投资 (10%) 保持稳定，市场由用家主导。

邓成波家族 1.5亿沽旺角铺

近1个月大手商铺买卖上，旺角道93至99号华懋王子大厦地下4及5号铺易手，面积约3,076平方呎，以约1.5亿元成交，呎价约4.9万元，租客为惠康超级市场，月租约45万元，回报率约3.6厘。据了解，原业主为邓成波家族，波叔于2015年以约1.58亿元向宏安 (01222) 购入铺位，近年家族成员曾放售物业，并多番降价，现以1.5亿元沽出，持货8年帐面蚀800万元。

另外，大额商铺成交中不乏内地客入市，资料显示，上环德辅道中287至291号长达大厦地下A2至A7号铺，现为6个面积由约300至800平方呎的相邻铺位，租户全是找换店，合共面积约1,800平方呎，以约1.8亿元沽出，呎价约10万元。原业主于2017年以约1.87亿元购该厦地下A铺，其后分拆成7个铺位，2020年以3,128万元沽出A1号铺，连同最新成交，原业主合共套现约2.11亿元，帐面获利约2,428万元。据悉，买家为内地投资者卢海强，他于今年曾以3.5亿元，购入旺角亚皆老街16至16B号旺角商业大厦多层铺位。

湾仔会展广场办公大楼高层 近3.1亿沽

至于甲厦方面，近期整体交投不多，较大手买卖为中国生态旅游 (01371)，出售会展广场办公大楼33楼7、8及9室，涉及总额约为3.098亿元，单位实用面积约5,860平方呎。翻查资料，去年该机构曾放售单位，建筑面积约9,000平方呎，意向价约3.68亿元，呎价约4.09万元。按现时成交价计，建筑呎价约3.44万元，较去年叫价减近两成。据了解，该中资公司曾自用单位，现办公室迁往黄竹坑，故放售物业套现。

该行代理指，本港息口高企依然影响投资气氛，以至机构性投资者抱观望态度，整体投资金额按年下跌。相信在今年餘下的时间，市场持续出现调整，直至推出环球利率放宽政策，整体房地产投资金额才会重拾升势。代理预计，豪宅和零售物业在今年下半年依然受追捧。

(经济日报)

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指标商厦差餉租值跌 较2019年低逾20%

有代理行指，该行选取33个顶级及甲级商厦差餉租值统计，2013年至2019年 (估值年份) 整体写字楼租值持续向升，6年间累升25.1%，当中顶级商厦升27.5%，甲级升21.7%。其后整体租值由2019年高位回落，连跌3年累跌23.7%，其中顶级跌21.8%，甲级跌26.7%。以致2022年整体、顶级及甲级租值全部均跌破2013年水平，分别低4.6%、0.3%及10.8%。在33个指标写字楼中，有24个2022年的租值更低于2013年水平，所佔比例为72.7%。

逾70%更低于2013年水平

2013年到2022年的9年间，顶级写字楼差餉租值升幅较甲级大，跌幅却较甲级小，走势明显优于大市。2022年7个顶级指标写字楼的租值与2013年相若，轻微略低0.3%。当中，长江集团中心 2013年至2019年租值升幅跑赢其他，升42.5%，近3年虽跌25.3%，但2022年租值仍比2013年高出6.5%。环球贸易广场及国际金融中心早前6年租值升幅达30%以上，虽然近3年同样跌逾20%，但2022年租值仍高于2013年水平，分别高5.6%及5%。不过，置地广场早前6年租值只升7.3%，近3年却跌19.6%，导致2022年租值比2013年低逾一成，跌13.8%。

(星岛日报)

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尖沙嘴海防道铺月租80万 护理用品连锁店进驻 租金较疫前低38%

近期核心区铺位租赁趋活，惟市场仍不乏巨铺选择，个人护理用品店万寧于尖沙嘴海防道经营多时，即将细铺搬大铺，落实承租该街道一个面积约2000方呎的地铺，月租近80万，平均呎租约400元，租金较疫市前减38%。

尖沙嘴海防道38至40号中达大厦地下A及B铺，建筑面积约2000方呎，现址Hello Milk Tee为短租，在此经营超过2年，月租约30万，近期铺位获準租客积极洽租，最终由个人护理用品连锁店万寧承租，月租高近80万，平均呎租约400元。

平均呎租约400元

虽然长租与短租未能直接比较，不过，租金录得超过1倍的升幅。

万寧今次细铺搬大铺，现时承租海防道32至34号宝丰大厦A至C号铺，建筑面积约1800方呎，进驻逾10多年，并曾承租D铺 (450方呎)，不过，于去年4月放弃。目前，业主就铺位以每月150万放租，叫价甚为进取。

租金较高峰期跌71%

上述海防道38至40号中达大厦地下A及B铺，面积大，早年曾由粤港湛周生生承租，2013年铺市高峰期时月租高达280万， 2017年续租时月租减至130万，最新租约对比上一份长约租金减38%，对比高峰期更大减71%。

恩浩国际中心中层意向价2226万

而自从疫情市后，该地铺一直由短租客追捧，2020年10月由口罩商落实承租，当时月租20.8万。

有代理表示，九龙湾恩浩国际中心中层B室，建筑面积约2226方呎，意向价2226万，平均呎价约10000元，连约放售，物业位处九龙湾商业区核心地带，坐拥维港景。

(星岛日报)

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Hang Lung sees homes market rebounding

Hong Kong's residential market will rebound in the next one to three years, and the US interest rate rises will have a limited impact on home prices, says the chairman of the Hang Lung Group (0010) and Hang Lung Properties (0101), Ronnie Chan Chi-chung.

Though the Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates twice this year, Chan said the impact on Hong Kong's property market will not be significant as the interest rates are not the only factor and the existing reading is not very high.

He sees a good recovery in retail property but office buildings are still under pressure, though he believes this will improve gradually.

On business in mainland China, he said Hang Lung will invest in more projects if the prices are favorable. He added that confidence is the key to mainland real-estate recovery.

In the primary market, Aruna at Ap Lei Chau, developed by Chuang's China Investments (0298), received more than 50 checks for its first batch of 50 units.

In Tuen Mun, Sun Hung Kai Properties (0016) said Phase 2A of Novo Land had received more than 4,800 checks by yesterday for the second batch of 223 units, more than 20 times oversubscribed.

Meanwhile, the overall Grade-A office rent in 2022 fell to the 2013 level, down by 23.7 percent in the past three years, a property agency said. Of 33 tracked Grade-A offices, 24 projects plunged below the 2013 level last year.

But the super Grade-A offices reported a smaller decline in rent, as seven buildings saw a tiny dip compared with the 2013 level.

(The Standard)

With Hong Kong’s property market reeling from falling deals and prices, an uptick in rates will dampen mood further, analysts say

Deals have fallen by nearly half since earlier this year, which are expected to pressure prices further, market observers say

The headwind of high interest rates will only begin to ease in 2024, a property agent says

An elevated interest-rate environment is likely to weigh on Hong Kong’s secondary housing market until next year, given the possibility of further rate hikes by the US Federal Reserve and its consequent impact on mortgage rates in the city, analysts said.

Higher interest rates have taken a toll on the transaction volumes of lived-in homes, which have fallen 40 to 50 per cent of this year’s weekly average, according to executives from two leading Hong Kong property agencies. They expect the high rates to push prices further down in the short term.

“There are still many uncertainties about whether the interest rate will peak, [as a result] the wait-and-see sentiment in the market will continue,” an agent said.

Home prices may fall by up to 5 per cent in the third quarter, the agent added.

The possibility of mortgage rates rising further has not been ruled out. The Fed, which held rates steady for the first time after 10 consecutive hikes since March 2022 to control inflation, sees one or two more increases.

Even the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) CEO, Eddie Yue Wai-man, cautioned on Thursday that interest rates in the city may continue to stay at the current high level for some time before any cuts take place.

“The public should not take the pause in rate rise today as the end of the interest rise cycle or any rate cut in the near future,” Yue said. “They should carefully assess interest rate risks before making investment decisions or taking a mortgage loan.”

Since the Fed embarked on its interest-rate hike cycle in March last year, a market index which is a gauge of lived-in home prices – has fallen by 6.6 per cent.

In Yuen Long, second-hand deals plummeted over 40 per cent month on month to 27 in the first half of June, with owners cutting prices slightly, according to the agency.

That figure compares with those collated by another agency, which tracks transactions of 35 large-scale housing estates in the city. The agency said it has seen consistently lower deals since March, which fell below 100 for 14 consecutive weeks and have sunk to less than 50 since the beginning of May, according to data compiled by the agency. The weekly average stood at 34 transactions in the past six weeks, compared with this year’s overall average of 73, it said.

In the short term, to lure buyers from competitively priced new residential projects, secondary homeowners eager to sell may have to cut prices further, the agency said.

HSBC, Bank of China (Hong Kong) and Hang Seng Bank said they would keep their prime lending rates unchanged at 5.75 per cent, while Standard Chartered and Bank of East Asia said they would keep theirs unchanged at 6 per cent on Thursday, but the HKMA’s Yue warned that “there is a chance for interest rates to rise one or two more times this year”, echoing Fed chairman Jerome Powell’s hawkish note on the need to raise interest rates “somewhat further” this year to bring down inflation.

Since the mortgage rate has more than doubled to 3.5 per cent from 1.5 per cent before the rate hike cycle, the monthly mortgage payment for a HK$6 million (US$766,640) flat with a 90 per cent loan-to-value ratio spread over 30 years has surged 30.1 per cent to HK$25,461, according to the agency.

The headwind of high interest rates will only begin to ease in 2024, an agent said.

“Some buyers of small and medium-sized units may not pass banks’ stress tests, which will depress home prices in the short term,” the agent said.

“The US interest rate hike cycle has not yet ended,” the agent said, adding that there is still a chance Hong Kong banks might increase their prime rate.

Meanwhile, Yue said the HKMA was not considering any changes to its mortgage policy, pointing to the nature of the property market.

“Property prices went down 15 per cent last year but have bounced back this year,” he said. “The HKMA will need more time to monitor demand and supply, transactions, prices and other economic data to determine if it should relax the mortgage policy.”