有外资代理行指出，甲级写字楼供过于求，空置率高企，令租金连续21季下降，今年迄今跌幅达到4.7%，过去5个季度甲厦录净吸纳量，令空置率略为下跌0.1百分点，然而，整体空置率仍录16.8%。
该行表示，2024年第三季甲厦租赁按季跌16%至99.3万方呎，年初至今租赁量达360万方呎，佔2023年全年总量89%，不过，需求仍疲弱，本季只有7%交易面积超过1万方呎，为自2013年第三季以来最低佔比。空置率过剩，令租金连续21季下降，按季跌2.6%，较上一季1.6%跌幅更大，今年迄今暂录跌幅达到4.7%。
整体空置率16.8%
由于供过于求，大中环地区租金较上季跌2.8%，负净吸纳量令九龙整体租金按季跌4.7%，较2024年第二季的跌幅2.2%更快，亦为自2020年第三季以来的最大跌幅。
该行代理表示，儘管办公室租户对成本谨慎，但自2023年以来，租赁势头持续改善，部分内地企业决定搬迁，惟整体新建和扩张需求仍有限。若中国和香港经济持续復甦，较低利率和中国货币宽鬆政策，有助推动办公空间需求增加。该行预计，随着市场对2025年经济前景更加清晰，租赁活动更加活跃。不过，高空置率和新增供应可能在短期内继续推动租金下降。
租金连续21季下降
该行另一代理表示，商业地产交易量从今年第2季低基数按季上升，投资需求仍疲软，零售及工业租赁活动平稳。期待已久减息，加上中国宽鬆货币政策，向市场发出了正面的信号，今年第3季度营商信心有所改善。
该行另一代理表示，国际时尚品牌对铺位需求出现新增长，核心铺租较2019年高峰低约35%，港元潜在疲软将有利游客消费，相信零售需求将在未来几季继续改善。
该行另一代理表示，本季度工业租赁势头减弱，今年迄今63%租赁由物流公司带动，随着全球息口开始下降，有利全球贸易，中国经济持续復甦，有利物流业。
该行另一代理表示，减息周期开始后，市场对大额交易兴趣增加，加上价格下跌，吸引用家及投资者入市。
甲厦需求仍疲弱，本季只有7%交易面积超过1万方呎，为自2013年第三季以来最低佔比。
(星岛日报)
中环中心全层料每月113万租出
中环中心录大手承租，由世茂集团创办人许荣茂相关人士持有的该厦32楼全层，由资产管理公司承租，料月租逾113万。
中环中心32楼，建筑面积约25204方呎，由万方管理(香港)有限公司承租，租期由2024年10月至2028年3月，为期41个月，市场人士估计，月租约113万，平均呎租45元，该全层于2019年至2021年间，由Unicorn Bay Hong Kong Invl Ltd承租，月租逾220万，平均呎租87元，最新租金减幅48%，该单位由2021年至早前，则一直作示范单位用途。
资产管理公司进驻
同由许荣茂相关人士持有的中环中心56楼全层，其中1室于今年7月租出，建筑面积2161方呎，以每月13万租出，呎租约60元，租约为期3年，租客为北京银行股份有限公司，是一间总部位于北京的商业银行，在2017年《银行家》杂誌发布的全球银行品牌500强排行榜中，排名第62位。
业内人士指，由于今番租出为全层单位，加上属低层，故呎租较56楼廉宜。
(星岛日报)
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港岛指标甲厦 连录低价成交
近1个月港岛主要指标甲厦，相继录低价成交，相信因空置率高加上租金回调，价格亦跟随调整。
港岛商业区由上环至湾仔，共有数幢可供买卖的指标甲厦，上半年交投淡静，下半年陆续出现交投，价格上更明显向下。如湾仔会展广场办公大楼近期录得1宗低价成交，涉及物业33楼7及9室，面积约9,000平方呎，属该厦罕有全海景单位，以约1.35亿元易手，呎价约1.5万元，按此成交呎价计，重回2011年水平。
蔡志忠1.35亿 购会展广场办公大楼银主盘
买家为资深投资者蔡志忠，他指甲厦呎价大幅回调后，而会展广场办公大楼邻近政府总部，临海而建，而区内优质甲厦林立，如中环广场、新鸿基中心、鹰君中心、华润大厦等，均没有拆售，而可供出售的会展广场办公大楼高层全海景属市场罕有，决定入市。事实上，蔡志忠于2017年，曾伙拍多名投资者购入中环中心75%业权，其后他于2018年拆售22楼全层，并于2019年沽清，获利约5亿元。
翻查资料，是次涉及会展广场办公大楼单位，曾由中资机构持有，2023年中物业获中资财团斥约3亿元购入，惟最终取消交易，单位重新放售，市况亦转差，单位沦为银主盘，如今重新沽出，价格1年间下跌55%。
金鐘力宝中心 呎价低见1.24万
金鐘最具指标甲厦为力宝中心，近期更一连录2宗低价成交，涉及2座中低层5室，面积约1,505平方呎，以约2,000万元易手，平均呎价约1.33万元，一度创逾10年呎价新低。原业主于2012年以约2,739.1万元购入单位，帐面亏损约739.1万元，幅度约27%。相隔数日后，该厦再录买卖，日前力宝中心二座低层11至12号室，面积约2,199平方呎，最新连租约以约2,728万元易手、呎价约1.24万元。据悉，上述单位月租约9.34万元，租期至明年5月，新买家享租金回报约4.1厘；资料显示，上述原业主2018年3月以约8,280万元购入，持货逾6年，帐面蚀5,552万元或67%。
上环区方面，指标甲厦定为信德中心，近期资深投资者罗守辉售上环信德中心招商局大厦902室，面积约1,158平方呎，涉及约1,838万元，平均呎价15,872元。原业主早于2005年以约590万购入单位，持货19年帐面获利约1,248万元，物业升值2.1倍。
分析指，近年甲厦空置率一直上升，租金跌势持续，而在高息环境下，个别业主希望沽货减磅，因租金未止跌下，唯有大幅降价放盘，导致低价成交相继出现。由于甲厦价格已高位下跌6成以上，渐现用家及投资早承接，预计港岛区甲厦交投量有望上升，价格续在低位徘徊。
(经济日报)
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观塘海滨道商业气氛转浓，而宏基资本大厦单位享全邮轮码头景观，极为舒适。
海滨道近年相继有甲厦项目落成，包括大业主持有的海滨汇、绿景NEO大厦等，以及可供出售项目包括宏基资本大厦、万兆丰中心、丝宝国际大厦等，整体甲厦楼面增加，亦有外资、内企租用单位，整体商业气氛理想。
宏基资本大厦于交通上，由牛头角港铁站步行至该厦需时5分鐘，而观塘道亦有多条巴士綫，物业拥停车场，为自驾人士提供选择。
其他配套上，海滨道商铺不算多，上班人士可前往观塘一带，有多个大型商场，商铺数目充足，而The Millennity商场部分日后全面开业，可望有更多餐厅选择。
物业旁有观塘海滨长廊，全长逾1公里，北至顺业街以南，南至骏业街的观塘公眾码头，上班人士可在中午或放工后，到海滨长廊散步或做运动。
分层楼面每层逾1.1万呎
宏基资本大厦于2013年落成，大堂楼底高，空间感十足，加上大堂门口採全玻璃设计，可引入室外光綫，开扬光猛。另有提供座椅，供到访人士休息。
大厦提供5部升降机，通往22层写字楼。分层楼面每层面积约1.1万至1.2万平方呎，部分可分为两个单位使用，单位楼高约3.8米，配上落地玻璃，採光度极佳，可享开扬的邮轮码头景致，极为舒适。另一边则望向牛头角一带的都市景致，亦相当开扬。
用户方面，较知名包括有内企信义玻璃 (00868)，使用物业高层全层，另亦有政府部门使用该厦楼面。
租务上，物业今年仅录一宗租务成交，涉及低层单位，面积约951平方呎，以约2万元租出，呎租约21元。
最顶两层放售 意向价1.8亿
宏基资本大厦最顶两层单位，现首度进行放售，意向价约1.8亿元，平均呎价约7,480元。
每层12029呎 呎价7480元
有外资代理行代理表示，有业主出售观塘海滨道135号宏基资本大厦顶楼两层27及28楼连8个私家车位。物业每层面积各约12,029平方呎，总建筑面积约24,058平方呎，现以部分交吉及部分连租约出售，而业主意向价约1.8亿元，平均呎价约7,480元。
据了解，是次放售的楼层为宏基资本大厦的最顶两层，为该厦发展商宏基资本(02288) 早年重建后作总部自用至今，故属首度公开放售，非常罕有。物业除享有180度维港及邮轮码头海景外，间隔亦方正实用。
近期同区同类型单位买卖上，2024年7月，联合出版集团以1.33亿元买入观塘俊汇中心28及29楼连天台，呎价约6,287元。另观塘敬业街云讯广场一层半楼面，获四洲集团 (00374) 以逾2.05亿购入作总部，成该厦首宗成交，呎价逾8,200元。
(经济日报)
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Hong Kong commercial property prices to keep falling on supply glut worries, according to an international property agency
In the third quarter, commercial real estate investment volume rose 22.6 per cent quarter on quarter to US$1.28 billion, the agency said
Hong Kong’s commercial property market has seen an improvement in investment sentiment thanks to lower rates and a rebound in Chinese stocks, but prices will keep falling because of worries about a supply glut, an international property agency said.
“We are seeing increased interest in big-ticket deals in the market following the start of the rate cut, coupled with deeper price discounts, [and] end users and long-term investors are gaining confidence to enter into buying positions,” an agent said.
“Further rate cuts and monetary easing in the mainland China economy will possibly translate into a stock market rally and improve investment market sentiment in the few months ahead,” the agent said.
In the third quarter, commercial real estate (CRE) investment volume rose 22.6 per cent quarter on quarter to HK$9.97 billion (US$1.28 billion), the report said. Financially stressed assets accounted for HK$5.5 billion in investment volume, or 55 per cent of the quarter’s total, as pressure continued to mount on sellers to fulfil their loan covenants.
The agency said in the third quarter, there were only 25 CRE transactions worth more than HK$77 million and most deals were smaller.
“Most deals were smaller sized, with 15 transactions involving a lump sum of less than HK$300 million,” it said.
The agent said CRE mortgage rates stood at around 6 per cent in the third quarter, down from 7 per cent in the year-earlier period. But yields for property investments stayed below 4 per cent.
Last month, the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) joined the US Federal Reserve in cutting its benchmark rate by a half point, kicking off a highly awaited cycle of easing. The HKMA had not cut its rate in four years. The city’s de facto central bank adjusts its own policy based on what the Fed does to keep the local currency’s peg to the US dollar.
After that, Hong Kong’s commercial banks trimmed their rates by a quarter point for the first time in nearly five years, which translates into savings for borrowers whose loans are tied to prime rates.
“We have seen Asia-Pacific regional fund outflows to Japan and Australia from Hong Kong as Japan has low interest rates and investment yields in Australia were as high as 5 to 6 per cent,” the agent said. “But as the interest rate cut cycle began, some funds invested in Singapore are backing Hong Kong.”
Transaction volume is likely to improve more in the fourth quarter and into 2025, the agency said. Capital values, however, will take longer to improve as a supply overhang in some property sectors and a negative carry will prevent a sharp jump in prices.
For the office market, rents will continue to drop in the short term due to high vacancy rates and new supply.
Gross leasing volume fell 16 per cent quarter on quarter to 993,000 square feet in the third quarter. Leasing requirements remained small with just 7 per cent of deals this quarter exceeding 10,000 sq ft, the smallest since the same quarter in 2013.
“The vacancy overhang ensured rents declined for the 21 consecutive quarters, bringing the year-to-date decline to 4.7 per cent,” another agent said.
Kowloon East saw the biggest decline in rents, falling 4.7 per cent quarter on quarter. Rents in Greater Central fell 2.8 per cent due to vacancy pressures and new supplies.
Rents for grade A offices across all areas are expected to fall by about 5 to 10 per cent this year, the agency said.
“This quarter saw selective mainland Chinese firms making decisions to relocate, but overall, new and expansion demand remains limited,” the agent said, adding that it is expected that leasing activities to become more active as the market gets greater clarity on the economic outlook in 2025.
(South China Morning Post)
New home sales set to double: Wheelock
The number of transactions in the primary market could double to 1,500 to 2,000 in October from a month ago, according to Wheelock Properties'managing director Ricky Wong Kwong-yiu.
Wong also predicted home prices would advance slightly this quarter due to increased confidence in the market, saying Wheelock would speed up the pace to put more new projects on the market.
Wheelock and MTRC (0066) will put up 158 units of Park Seasons at Lohas for sale this Friday. Prices start from HK$4.53 million, or HK$14,059 per square foot.
Hong Kong saw 919 private residential units completed in August, down 42.8 percent from the previous month, according to data from the Rating and Valuation Department.
For the first eight months, a total of 9,622 private residential units were completed, accounting for only 43.2 percent of the government's target of 22,267 units for the whole year.
Market watchers warned earlier this year that a high inventory of new flats was a major factor keeping home prices under pressure.
The production included 5,610 newly finished flats or 58.3 percent in the New Territories, followed by 3,607 new homes or 37.5 percent in Kowloon in the first eight months. Hong Kong Island came last, with only 405 units built up to August 31.
Chinachem Group launched a new project, Echo House, yesterday. The project in Cheung Sha Wan offers 198 units with home style from one-bedroom flats to three-bedroom units. Sales brochure will be released this week.
In other news about the commercial property market, an international property agency said the rents of offices in Hong Kong have dropped for 21 quarters in a row as of the third quarter this year, mainly due to high vacancy rate that has risen to 16.8 percent.
The agency predicts the market may need seven to eight years to destock vacant offices and the rents could drop more than 5 percent in 2024 year-on-year, although the rental demand could revive with a bullish economic outlook for the rest of the year.
During the July-to-August quarter, the vacancy rate of retail stores in Causeway Bay, Tsim Sha Tsui, Mong Kok and Central remained unchanged at 6.8 percent compared to the second quarter, although the rents rose by 1 percent quarter-on-quarter.
The agency believes that consumption demands in the local retail market will continue to recover in the coming quarters, amid potential further rate cuts and policy easing, possible weakening of the Hong Kong dollar to benefit retail sales and continued recovery of China's economy.
The firm predicted the rents of retail stores in four core areas could record up to 5 percent year-on-year increase in 2024.
(The Standard)