啟德住宅地突招标 估值跌价15% 业界：经济前景未明 财团出价保守及审慎

政府早前成功将啟德3幅商业地改划作住宅发展，当中2幅已纳入卖地表，地政总署昨日公布，推出啟德2A区4号、5 (B) 号及10号合併用地招标，涉及可建总楼面约141.8万方呎。业界人士指，在疫情及加息等不利因素影响下，楼市及经济前景未明，参考该项目邻近的土瓜湾项目以低价批出，料财团出价保守及审慎，并下调估值15%。该地皮综合市场估值约138.96亿至170.16亿，每方呎估值约9800元至1.2万。

啟德区近年有多幅商业地以流标收场，政府早前计画将区内5幅商业用地改划住宅发展，其中3幅成功改划，其中曾以商业地方式推出、并以流标收场的2A区4号、5 (B) 号及10号合併招标地皮，政总署昨日以住宅地方式推出招标，将于下周五 (11月4日) 开始招标，12月16日截标。

估值约138.96亿至170.16亿

上述地皮由三个地块组成，并合併成一个项目招标，佔地规模较大，地盘面积约21.44万方呎，涉及可建总楼面约141.8万方呎，并不包括将由买方按照卖地条件所兴建的两所安老院舍暨日间护理单位、家长 / 亲属资源中心和留宿幼儿中心的政府地方的楼面面积；该项目料可提供约1750伙，是今季卖地计画推出住宅地中最大。该地邻近港铁屯马綫宋皇臺站，交通便利，料日后可享九龙城一带都市景。

不过日前市建局土瓜湾荣光街/崇安街发展项目，以每方呎楼面地价8571元批出，由信和及招商局置地合组的财团以23.88亿投得，地价对比今年3月由长实投得的同区发展项目，当时每方呎楼面地价约11382元，短短约7个月该区每呎地价下跌24.7%。业内人士指，啟德地皮面积大，在目前市况下，财团出价保守及审慎。该地皮综合市场估值约138.96亿至170.16亿，每方呎估值约9800元至1.2万，对比早前每方呎估值约1.2万至1.4万，估值下跌约15%。

有测量师表示，由于附近的土瓜湾项目低价成交，加上目前市况前景未明，受一连串不利因素困扰，更影响项目估值，因此下调估值约15%；另外，啟德的地皮面积更大，涉及投资额多，料入标财团不多，相信财团出价保守及审慎，亦不排除财团以合组方式入标，以分散风险。

财团或合组入标

另一测量师说，地盘发展规模大，可建约1750伙，相信成功出售后，对供应有一定帮助，但看房屋局数字，施工量因供应量提升及货尾单位销售较慢而急剧放缓。参考邻近荣光街项目以低价批出，预计今次啟德大型项目发展商出价更倾向审慎。

(星岛日报)

Hong Kong homebuyers show tepid demand for new units with prices expected to fall in the fourth quarter

Out of 118 units available at One Innovale-Cabanna in Fanling, 66 changed hands on Saturday, and none sold at Tuen Mun and Kowloon City communities

Property sales are expected to recover slightly in the fourth quarter as housing prices drop by 1 to 2 per cent, property agency said

Hong Kong new home sales turned out to be tepid on Saturday, as rising interest rates and weaker economic growth dampened consumer demand despite lower prices offered by developers.

Out of 118 offerings at One Innovale-Cabanna in the Northern Metropolis, Fanling, 66 were sold on Saturday – just 56 per cent.

Although it was the cheapest new property launch since September 2021 in the city, buyers are seen cautious amid a prolonged down cycle in the local real estate market, which is forecast to plummet to a 27-year low this year according to a property agency.

Meanwhile, not a single unit was sold at two other projects – Grand Jeté in Tuen Mun on the western fringe of Hong Kong’s New Territories and Allegro in Kowloon City – on Saturday.

Rising interest rates and slower economic growth are weighing on buyers’ confidence, a property agent said.

“Some buyers are trying to observe the interest rate hikes in the US in November and whether Hong Kong will follow [with its own increases],” the agent said. “The fluctuation of the stock market and the overall economic trend also make people wait on the sidelines.”

Hong Kong’s property market was hit hard by the coronavirus pandemic in the first half of the year and is expected to further bear the brunt of rising interest rate hikes. The Hong Kong Monetary Authority has raised its base interest rate five times this year to 3.5 per cent, a 14-year high. Commercial banks such as HSBC and Bank of China (Hong Kong) raised their prime rates last month to a four-year high, making it costlier to fund big-ticket purchases such as housing.

The city’s economy is also under pressure amid a worsening external trade environment, as the government downgraded its full-year economic growth to between 0.5 per cent growth and 0.5 per cent contraction from the previous 1 to 2 per cent expansion.

The units at Grand Jeté and Allegro were leftovers after previous rounds of sales, which were less attractive compared with the new launches amid the current sluggish market, the agent said.

One Innovale-Cabanna, developed by Henderson Land Development, has recorded the cheapest offering price of a new property since September 2021 at just HK$2.76 million (US$351,600) for 186 sq ft of space. It was the lowest entry price after Artique in Sheung Shui in September last year at HK$2.43 million.

The project was 11.3 times oversubscribed, receiving 1,387 bids as of Friday. The units ranged from studios to three-bedroom units, between 186 sq ft to 683 sq ft. After discounts of up to 7 per cent, they were priced at between HK$2.76 million and HK$9.42 million, with an average price of HK$13,428 to HK$15,400 per square foot.

The offerings of 80 units at Grand Jeté, from CK Asset Holdings and Sun Hung Kai Properties (SHKP), comprised five units with gardens. The rest were studios and standard units with up to three bedrooms.

After a 17 per cent discount, the selling prices ranged from HK$3.93 million to HK$10.12 million, with average prices per square foot between HK$12,888 and HK$17,098.

Country Garden’s Allegro put 50 units on sale priced from HK$5.68 million to HK$10.97 million, or HK$22,678 to HK$22,080 per square foot.

Sales are likely to recover slightly in Hong Kong in the fourth quarter with an expected 1,000 transactions, the agent predicted. Housing prices are expected to dip 1 to 2 per cent, compared with the 5 per cent drop from August to September, the agent  said.

(South China Morning Post)