今年写字楼交投从低位反弹，有报告指，今年暂录1,096宗写字楼买卖，按年升4成。
因应中港通关经整年商议仍未落实，商厦市场受创最大，全年市况偏淡静，特别是港九指标商厦情况更见严峻；而随着中环大型临海商业用地中标价刷新卖地记录，为商厦市场鲜有的喜讯。
有代理表示，今年暂录得约1,096宗写字楼买卖成交，总成交金额约374.94亿元，按年分别上升约43%及29%；宗数为2019社会事件及2020新冠肺炎后首度破千宗水平。租赁市场方面，2021年暂时有约6,541宗写字楼租务成交，对比去年增加约24%；总成交金额则录得约6.95亿元，亦比2020年上升约23%。与买卖走势相似，今年成交宗数亦是自2019及2020年后再度冲破6,000宗水平，租务气氛都有好转迹象。
预测明年价升5至10%
该代理续表示，2021年全年港九指标商厦买卖个案暂录得72宗个案，当中九龙区表现较佳，佔41宗成交，远超出去年约15宗水平，相信由于九龙甲厦呎价较相宜且质素又见不俗，因而吸引投资者入市。而租赁表现就较疲弱；而今年港九指标商厦暂共录得约570宗租务个案，走势一般，令各核心商业区空置情况难以改善，港岛区11月整体甲厦空置率为10%，比今年1月上升0.58个百分点，当中中环最新空置率录约8.03%，比年初亦升0.86个百分点，金鐘11月空置率则为9.43%，持续徘徊于8%至9%水平。
该代理预测，虽然变种病毒来袭，但港府近月积极争取中港「小通关」，预计即使计划延后，但始终见曙光，下年有机会落实初步通关，料商务人士可更方便来港，为商厦市场带来支撑力，对买卖及租赁市场都为利好因素。预测2022年全年会录得1,200宗水平，成交金额会达400亿元，买卖价则会有5%至10%上调空间，而租务成交量则料会有6,500宗水平，而受到高企的空置率拖累，料租金仅会有0%至5%升幅。
(经济日报)
海港中心全层意向呎租50元
本港疫情走势稳定，为甲厦市场释出正面讯息，部分业主亦趁势放租旗下物业。湾仔海港中心12楼全层，以意向呎租约50元放租，较早前叫租下调约10%。
叫租下调约10%
有代理表示，湾仔港湾道25号海港中心12楼全层，面积约15929方呎，意向呎租约50元，涉及月租约79.6万，现已交吉。代理指，旧租客为大型衞星通信公司，刚于今年年中迁出，前月租约89万，对比此番意向月租，下调约10%。是次招租物业位处中层，可眺望优美维港海景，加上物业配有豪华全写字楼装修及间隔，租客可即租即用，节省开支及装修时间。
代理续称，海港中心坐落于湾仔核心商业地段，佔尽地利优势，加上未来沙中綫会展站将设出入口连接，日后通车后人流势增，为物业增值。代理认为，今番放租物业属核心区矜罕大面积盘源，亦属海港中心唯一全层放租。一旦两地恢復往来，核心商业区租盘将严重短缺，加上业主叫价表现克制。翻查记录，同幢最近全层租务成交追溯至2020年12月录得，其23楼及24楼以呎租约60元租出，故相隔近一年有新全层供应，预计是次物业洽租反应会见理想。
(星岛日报)
更多海港中心写字楼出租楼盘资讯请参阅：海港中心写字楼出租
更多湾仔区甲级写字楼出租楼盘资讯请参阅：湾仔区甲级写字楼出租
九龙城旧楼强拍底价七亿
自港铁屯马綫「驶入」九龙城区后，区内旧楼併购活动明显加快，不少财团透过强拍途径增加土储；由远洋集团收购的九龙城大华大厦，落实于明年1月18日举行强拍，底价7.05亿。
项目位于衙前塱道3至13号，上月底获土审处批出强拍令，该财团持有不少于80%业权。现为一幢6层高商住物业，地下、1至3楼为护老院，另有7个地铺，楼上4及5楼每层有10伙住宅单位，合共提供30伙，早于1967年落成，至今楼龄约54年。
远洋集团持逾八成业权
该项目地盘约7030方呎，现划为「住宅 (甲类)2」用途，若以9倍地积比率作商住重建发展，可建约63270方呎。项目邻近港铁宋皇臺B2出口，步行前往不足2分鐘，出入便利。拍卖行为仲量联行。
另外，由财团申请强拍的西营盘保德街1至7号旧楼，将于今日在戴德梁行举行强拍，底价约3.77亿。上址现为1幢楼高8层商住旧楼，地下为商铺，楼上为住宅；地盘约3005方呎，若以地积比约9倍重建，预计可建约27045方呎。
总结今年旧楼强拍个案，迄今暂录16宗申请，对比去年全年的35宗，数字为近4年来最少，按年减少19宗，跌幅达54%；而土审处今年亦批出约24宗旧楼强拍令。
(星岛日报)
太兴中心一座位于上环心臟地带，大堂及各楼层亦曾进行翻新，物业质素提升，而大厦亦邻近港铁上环站，适合中小企进驻。
太兴中心一座是一幢乙级商业大厦，位于上环皇后大道中237号，属于分散业权的商厦。目前物业可提供出租及出售，与同区的商厦比较，该物业租务成交较买卖成交为频密。太兴中心一座在1990年落成，楼龄约31年，物业楼高共29层，设有2部载客升降机及1部载货升降机，而大堂及各楼层曾进行翻新，同时有水牌指示，方便商客穿梭各层。
物业每层约2,180平方呎，景观方面以开扬及城市景为主，滙集不同类型的企业进驻，例如证券、会计、药业等行业。
邻近港铁站 餐饮种类多
交通配套方面，太兴中心一座位于上环核心，交通配套十分齐全，巴士路綫能往返港岛、九龙及新界，亦邻近港铁上环站E2出口，由出口步行至5至10分鐘便到该物业。同时附近设有电车站，方便商客来往港岛区。物业附近一带具备良好交通优势的条件，可以为商客提供不同形式的商务体验。
餐饮方面，该物业身处位于中环及上环之间，考虑餐饮更有弹性，就以中环为例，该处一带有不同类型的西式餐厅，为商客提供全面的西式餐饮体验。如果对中式餐饮有兴趣，可步行至无限极广场、信德中心一带，该商场设有不同的中式酒楼，为热爱中式美食的商客提供更完善的商务餐饮。
近期，上环区的商厦租务成交较平稳，其中太兴中心一座于上月录得成交，涉及低层全层，以5.45万元租出，面积2,180平方呎，平圴呎租约25元；秀平商业大厦，于上月录得成交，涉及高层全层，以2万元租出，面积773平方呎，平圴呎租约25元；联威商业中心于9月份录得成交，以1.5万元租出，面积518平方呎，平圴呎租约29元。
(经济日报)
更多太兴中心一座写字楼出租楼盘资讯请参阅：太兴中心一座写字楼出租
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更多无限极广场写字楼出租楼盘资讯请参阅：无限极广场写字楼出租
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更多上环区甲级写字楼出租楼盘资讯请参阅：上环区甲级写字楼出租
更多上环区甲级写字楼出售楼盘资讯请参阅：上环区甲级写字楼出售
Property market fares well over Christmas
Hong Kong's property market was busy over the Christmas weekend, with buyers snapping up new and old homes, while prices at blue-chip estates are expected to remain intact into the new year.
The Yoho Hub atop the MTR Yuen Long Station sold more than 80 percent of the flats offered in the first round of sales during the long Christmas weekend, raking in over HK$3 billion, said Victor Lui Ting, deputy managing director at Sun Hung Kai Properties (0016).
The developer revealed the fourth price list yesterday for 145 flats at an average price of HK$21,261 per square foot after discounts, with no premium compared to the previous price lists.
The list includes 25 one-bedroom, 62 two-bedroom, 48 three-bedroom and 10 four-bedroom apartments, ranging from 326 sq ft to 1,036 sq ft in size. The second round of sales is expected to be launched at the beginning of 2022, said Lui.
In the secondary market, transactions at 10 blue-chip housing estates picked up by 36 percent over the previous weekend, data from a property agency showed.
A total of 15 secondary deals were recorded, and the New Territories slightly outperformed Kowloon and Hong Kong Island, with seven deals. Three blue-chip estates - Caribbean Coast in Tung Chung, City One Shatin, and Kingswood Villas in Tin Shui Wai - saw a 40 percent increase in the number of deals over the previous week.
Property agenct said that as the border between the mainland and Hong Kong is expected to reopen soon, buyers who failed to get a primary home turned to the secondary market for good-value apartments in different districts, to beat the expected rise in prices.
Tsuen Wan has become a "hidden gem" in the secondary market since prices in the district are cheaper than other districts, while the Northern Metropolis concept may also benefit Tsuen Wan in the future, another property agent said.
The agent added that the number of house-viewing requests received by the branch jumped 25 percent over the three-day Christmas holidays from a week ago.
Separately, 384 transactions were recorded in Tai Koo Shing so far this year, an increase of 10 percent over the last year's figure, another agent said.
As one of the blue-chip estates in Hong Kong Island, the agent said that the average price of HK$20,109 per sq ft is expected to remain intact next month.
(The Standard)
The five biggest factors that may influence Hong Kong home prices in the year ahead
Forecasts for price movement in 2022 range from a drop of 2 per cent by Morgan Stanley to a rise of 10 per cent by property agency
The city’s property market saw much slower growth in 2021 because of the coronavirus pandemic
Hong Kong has repeatedly been touted as the least affordable housing market over the years, with the average household needing to save for about 20 years to buy a home.
It costs HK$16,239 (US$2,082) per sq ft to buy a property in Hong Kong, according to data from a property agency.
But Hong Kong saw slower growth in 2021 because of the coronavirus pandemic. It placed 116th among 150 cities surveyed for house price growth in the third quarter, according to another agency’s global residential cities index.
Home prices rose 3.9 per cent in the first 10 months of 2021, according to data from the Rating and Valuation Department. Forecasts for price movement in 2022 range from a drop of 2 per cent from Morgan Stanley to a rise of 10 per cent from a property agency.
Here are five major factors that may influence home prices in the coming year:
1. Interest rate movement
The market should watch out for an acceleration in US interest rate rises if inflation is uncontained, with three increases generally expected in 2022, a surveyor said.
This expectation has prompted a softening of the valuation index, a weekly gauge that tracks major banks’ valuations for used homes in 133 housing estates, compiled by a property agency. It saw the biggest drop in six weeks to 28.38 points in the week ended December 19. One of the index below 40 indicates a bearish view of the market and a downward trend in home prices, while one above 60 points indicates a bullish trend.
If the city’s aggregate bank balance remains sufficient, the Hong Kong Interbank Offered Rate (Hibor), which is widely used for linking mortgage rates, may not keep pace with increases in the US interest rate, according to a mortgage broker. Next year, Hong Kong’s mortgage interest rate will remain below 2 per cent, and the low-interest rate environment will continue for the 14th year, the mortgage broker added.
For a 30-year mortgage, if the Hibor-linked mortgage rate is increased by 1 per cent, the monthly repayment goes up by HK$495 for a HK$1 million loan, according to the mortgage broker.
The actual Hibor-linked mortgage rate fell to a 10-year low of 1.36 per cent in 2021. More than 90 per cent of mortgage holders use Hibor linked mortgages, according to the Hong Kong Monetary Authority.
2. Chief Executive election in March 2022
A change of leadership could usher in a new mindset regarding the supply of flats and measures that have restrained demand. A lot would depend on the strength of a new Chief Executive’s implementation of these measures though, a surveyor said. Things to look out for may include:
a) New land and housing policies such as measures to help first-time buyers or restrictions on buying a second apartment, and more details about the Northern Metropolis and the Lantau Tomorrow Vision projects.
b) A lower threshold for compulsory sales under the Land (Compulsory Sale for Redevelopment) Ordinance (Cap 545).
c) More incentives for redevelopment.
3. Covid-19 developments
The market will doubtless be lifted by the border reopening between China and Hong Kong and its positive impact on the economy. Pandemic control measures globally as well as the effectiveness of new vaccines for Covid-19 and its variants are worth monitoring as they will affect the opening of international borders.
4. Hong Kong’s economy
Overall economic conditions could be a challenge if there is an escalation in Covid-19 cases and the city ends up back in lockdown, similar to what’s happening in some European countries, said Michael Wu, senior equity analyst at Morningstar. As such, rising unemployment would be a key.
Hong Kong had seen 12,599 confirmed or probable Covid-19 cases as of Monday.
The Hang Seng Index (HSI) is down around a quarter in 2021 since mid-February. Hong Kong’s property prices tend to decline post-HSI decline, most probably because of a negative wealth effect, according to Morgan Stanley. The performance of the stock market will affect wealth and buying sentiment.
Other economic indicators correlated to home price movement include real GDP growth, inflation, rental yield over mortgage and residential sales volume in the secondary market, Morgan Stanley’s report added.
5. Economy in mainland China
Meanwhile, GDP growth in mainland China, the financial problems of mainland-based developers and geopolitical factors such as fraught relations with the US, may be causes for concern. They will determine whether mainland buyers return to Hong Kong’s housing market in droves in 2022.
Maintaining a stable and healthy economy in the run-up to the 20th congress of the Chinese Communist Party in the second half of 2022 is set as the top priority for the year, according to a Standard Chartered Bank report released on December 10. The bank forecasts GDP growth of 5.3 per cent in China next year.
Goldman Sachs expects the People’s Bank of China to inject more long-term liquidity via required reserve ratio cuts. One more cut is expected in the first quarter of the year, as well as various lending facilities, and an easing of property policies at local level.
The investment bank said in its report released on December 26 that headwinds to growth remain, however. The property market might continue to cool, the city’s zero-Covid strategy could drag on consumption, and Beijing’s anti-pollution measures before the Winter Olympic Games early next year could weigh on industrial production.
(South China Morning Post)